Footsteps

A footstep is the sound or mark that is made by someone walking each time their foot touches the ground.

Tuesday, February 08, 2011

Egypt

As the uprising more or less continues in Egypt, there are wide-ranging speculations about the future of the country. Some see strong parallels between today's Egypt and Iran in 1979 and are worried that Egypt will falls into the hand of Islamists. This scenario is unlikely to happen in my opinion. Instead, I think Egypt will be taking small steps towards a more democratic state but it still be far from a real democratic state any time in the near future .

Nobody can predict the future but I am just expressing my opinion here because it is always good to review it in the future to see how my views were different from the reality. For the record, I also quote a paragraph from a Fareed Zakaria's article which conveys a similar point of view:

"I remain convinced that fears of an Egyptian theocracy are vastly overblown. Shi'ite Iran is a model for no country — certainly not a Sunni Arab society like Egypt. The nation has seen both Mubarak and Iran's mullahs and wants neither. More likely is the prospect of an "illiberal democracy," in which Egypt becomes a country with reasonably free and fair elections, but the elected majority restricts individual rights and freedoms, curtails civil society and uses the state as its instrument of power. The danger, in other words, is less Iran than Russia."

posted by Farhad # 4:37 AM

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